Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000944 1.082173e-03 0.001221 0.001371 0.001528 0.001685 0.001856
2026-01-04 0.000733 9.322861e-04 0.001139 0.001368 0.001612 0.001863 0.002140
2026-01-11 0.000558 7.976372e-04 0.001056 0.001350 0.001670 0.002004 0.002377
2026-01-18 0.000419 6.865276e-04 0.000987 0.001337 0.001725 0.002137 0.002600
2026-01-25 0.000276 5.530903e-04 0.000880 0.001273 0.001718 0.002196 0.002740
2026-02-01 0.000182 4.625309e-04 0.000814 0.001247 0.001747 0.002290 0.002914
2026-02-08 0.000119 4.008700e-04 0.000775 0.001249 0.001803 0.002411 0.003114
2026-02-15 0.000074 3.535910e-04 0.000749 0.001262 0.001869 0.002541 0.003320
2026-02-22 0.000042 3.184720e-04 0.000735 0.001286 0.001946 0.002680 0.003535
2026-03-01 0.000013 2.680314e-04 0.000695 0.001276 0.001980 0.002769 0.003693
2026-03-08 NaN 2.115442e-04 0.000640 0.001244 0.001985 0.002823 0.003810
2026-03-15 NaN 1.828851e-04 0.000622 0.001255 0.002041 0.002934 0.003988
2026-03-22 NaN 1.243041e-04 0.000561 0.001224 0.002063 0.003024 0.004168
2026-03-29 NaN 8.662006e-05 0.000526 0.001226 0.002125 0.003164 0.004405
2026-04-05 NaN 4.994093e-05 0.000482 0.001212 0.002167 0.003279 0.004616
2026-04-12 NaN 2.284045e-05 0.000442 0.001201 0.002211 0.003398 0.004829
2026-04-19 NaN 3.851534e-07 0.000372 0.001141 0.002191 0.003438 0.004952
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001117 0.002215 0.003528 0.005130
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001119 0.002270 0.003655 0.005349
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000290 0.001132 0.002338 0.003796 0.005583
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000281 0.001156 0.002419 0.003951 0.005832
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001146 0.002455 0.004051 0.006017
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000217 0.001115 0.002461 0.004114 0.006158